Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 7?
19°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 7, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
17%
19°C
29%
20°C
29%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 7, 2026
12°C or below
$151 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$645 Vol.
1%
17°C
$860 Vol.
2%
18°C
$931 Vol.
17%
19°C
$1,379 Vol.
29%
20°C
$389 Vol.
29%
21°C
$753 Vol.
18%
22°C or higher
$1,723 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,252Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,252Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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