Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus project a daytime high in Warsaw on October 8 between 22–24°C under southerly flow that advects milder air ahead of a weak front. Light rain or showers expected mainly later in the day introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier precipitation could cap the peak below 23°C while clearer breaks or delayed onset might allow brief warming toward 24°C. Afternoon mixing and surface pressure gradients around 1005–1010 hPa further modulate the exact maximum, with historical October baselines near 15–17°C underscoring the above-average signal traders are pricing. Updated model runs and radar trends through the evening will likely refine the tight spread between the leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes.