Salihu Danladi (APC) holds the highest implied probability at 60.5% in the Kwara 2027 governorship market, reflecting his May 2026 primary victory and subsequent endorsements from state assembly members. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with ongoing party consolidation efforts under Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, underpins trader consensus on his frontrunner position. Opposition figures including Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu, Ajibade Adekunle, and Zakari Mohammed (ADC) trail with lower odds, consistent with fragmented party structures and limited recent momentum. Some reports of internal APC primary disputes have not materially shifted pricing, as the election remains over five months away and historical patterns favor the incumbent party's candidate in the state.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSalihu Danladi 54%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 32%
Ajibade Adekunle 16%
Zakari Mohammed 11%
BARU
BARU
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
70%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
21%
Ajibade Adekunle
16%
Zakari Mohammed
11%
Salihu Danladi 54%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 32%
Ajibade Adekunle 16%
Zakari Mohammed 11%
BARU
BARU
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
$328 Vol.
70%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
$122 Vol.
21%
Ajibade Adekunle
$81 Vol.
16%
Zakari Mohammed
$84 Vol.
11%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Danladi (APC) holds the highest implied probability at 60.5% in the Kwara 2027 governorship market, reflecting his May 2026 primary victory and subsequent endorsements from state assembly members. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with ongoing party consolidation efforts under Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, underpins trader consensus on his frontrunner position. Opposition figures including Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu, Ajibade Adekunle, and Zakari Mohammed (ADC) trail with lower odds, consistent with fragmented party structures and limited recent momentum. Some reports of internal APC primary disputes have not materially shifted pricing, as the election remains over five months away and historical patterns favor the incumbent party's candidate in the state.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$615Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 6, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Danladi (APC) holds the highest implied probability at 60.5% in the Kwara 2027 governorship market, reflecting his May 2026 primary victory and subsequent endorsements from state assembly members. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with ongoing party consolidation efforts under Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, underpins trader consensus on his frontrunner position. Opposition figures including Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu, Ajibade Adekunle, and Zakari Mohammed (ADC) trail with lower odds, consistent with fragmented party structures and limited recent momentum. Some reports of internal APC primary disputes have not materially shifted pricing, as the election remains over five months away and historical patterns favor the incumbent party's candidate in the state.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$615Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 6, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Salihu Danladi (APC) holds the highest implied probability at 60.5% in the Kwara 2027 governorship market, reflecting his May 2026 primary victory and subsequent endorsements from state assembly members. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with ongoing party consolidation efforts under Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, underpins trader consensus on his frontrunner position. Opposition figures including Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu, Ajibade Adekunle, and Zakari Mohammed (ADC) trail with lower odds, consistent with fragmented party structures and limited recent momentum. Some reports of internal APC primary disputes have not materially shifted pricing, as the election remains over five months away and historical patterns favor the incumbent party's candidate in the state.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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