Trader consensus on a 96.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of any criminal charges against Les Wexner despite intensified scrutiny following February 2026 DOJ releases of Epstein files naming him an internal co-conspirator in the 2019 sex-trafficking probe, his House Oversight Committee deposition where he denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes and claimed to have been "conned," and April civil lawsuits by victims alleging financial enablement. No federal indictment, arraignment, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the six weeks to June 30 resolution, reflecting historical patterns where such associations have not led to prosecution absent direct evidence of participation. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking victim testimony, special counsel review, or new FBI evidence prompting swift charges, though procedural timelines and Wexner's age (88) pose barriers.
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Jun 30, 2026
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Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leslie Wexner between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on a 96.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of any criminal charges against Les Wexner despite intensified scrutiny following February 2026 DOJ releases of Epstein files naming him an internal co-conspirator in the 2019 sex-trafficking probe, his House Oversight Committee deposition where he denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes and claimed to have been "conned," and April civil lawsuits by victims alleging financial enablement. No federal indictment, arraignment, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the six weeks to June 30 resolution, reflecting historical patterns where such associations have not led to prosecution absent direct evidence of participation. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking victim testimony, special counsel review, or new FBI evidence prompting swift charges, though procedural timelines and Wexner's age (88) pose barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leslie Wexner between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Volume
$9,688Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leslie Wexner between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on a 96.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of any criminal charges against Les Wexner despite intensified scrutiny following February 2026 DOJ releases of Epstein files naming him an internal co-conspirator in the 2019 sex-trafficking probe, his House Oversight Committee deposition where he denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes and claimed to have been "conned," and April civil lawsuits by victims alleging financial enablement. No federal indictment, arraignment, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the six weeks to June 30 resolution, reflecting historical patterns where such associations have not led to prosecution absent direct evidence of participation. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking victim testimony, special counsel review, or new FBI evidence prompting swift charges, though procedural timelines and Wexner's age (88) pose barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leslie Wexner between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$9,688Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a 96.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of any criminal charges against Les Wexner despite intensified scrutiny following February 2026 DOJ releases of Epstein files naming him an internal co-conspirator in the 2019 sex-trafficking probe, his House Oversight Committee deposition where he denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes and claimed to have been "conned," and April civil lawsuits by victims alleging financial enablement. No federal indictment, arraignment, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the six weeks to June 30 resolution, reflecting historical patterns where such associations have not led to prosecution absent direct evidence of participation. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking victim testimony, special counsel review, or new FBI evidence prompting swift charges, though procedural timelines and Wexner's age (88) pose barriers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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