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icon for Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

icon for Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 15%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,282,636 Vol.

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 15%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,282,636 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$67,973 Vol.

57%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$842,752 Vol.

24%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$106,429 Vol.

15%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$120,116 Vol.

1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$463,870 Vol.

1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$65,323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$18,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$19,596 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$446,371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$103,842 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$28,267 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in the June 2 primary for Los Angeles mayor, yet recent Emerson College polling shows her support at just 30 percent among likely voters amid criticism over the city’s wildfire response and a nearly $1 billion budget shortfall. This has fueled momentum for challenger Spencer Pratt, who reached 22 percent in the same survey after highlighting resident frustrations and raising more campaign funds than Bass in recent months. City Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 19-20 percent, positioning her as a potential runoff contender. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the nonpartisan primary’s structure, where no candidate is assured a majority, combined with shifting voter sentiment in the final weeks before the vote.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$2,282,636
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in the June 2 primary for Los Angeles mayor, yet recent Emerson College polling shows her support at just 30 percent among likely voters amid criticism over the city’s wildfire response and a nearly $1 billion budget shortfall. This has fueled momentum for challenger Spencer Pratt, who reached 22 percent in the same survey after highlighting resident frustrations and raising more campaign funds than Bass in recent months. City Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 19-20 percent, positioning her as a potential runoff contender. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the nonpartisan primary’s structure, where no candidate is assured a majority, combined with shifting voter sentiment in the final weeks before the vote.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$2,282,636
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Karen Bass" di 57%, diikuti oleh "Spencer Pratt" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 57¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" telah menghasilkan $2.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 9, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" adalah "Karen Bass" di 57%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Spencer Pratt" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.