Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional forecasts indicates a cooling trend driven by a strengthening northerly flow and widespread rain on October 17, with daytime highs near 15–16°C and overnight lows projected between 10–13°C. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the approach of a cold front that enhances cloud cover and reduces diurnal temperature range. Trader sentiment remains split near even odds between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because of lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, rainfall intensity, and model spread on boundary-layer cooling. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined short-range model runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
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