Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 29?
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
27°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 29, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
14%
28°C
12%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
27°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 29, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$42 Vol.
1%
23°C
$32 Vol.
11%
24°C
$104 Vol.
24%
25°C
$23 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1 Vol.
12%
29°C
$32 Vol.
8%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$263Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$263Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late July 2026, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C as the most probable overnight lows. These values align with long-term July climatology, where radiative cooling under typical monsoon humidity and cloud cover yields minimums near 26°C. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables: increased shower activity or thicker cloud decks can suppress nighttime cooling toward 24–25°C, while clearer skies or stronger southerly flow may hold lows near 26–27°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours sustains the tight probabilities, with resolution depending on official observatory readings at the reference station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan