**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 28–30°C for Jeddah on October 8, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 50% implied probability.** Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the pre-dawn low near or slightly above the recent average for early October. Coastal proximity to the Red Sea provides moderation, while the region's subtropical desert climate features gradual seasonal cooling after summer peaks. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others shows overnight readings bottoming out around 28–30°C (82–86°F), with dew points supporting humid conditions that reduce further temperature drops. The 25°C-or-below outcome at 37.5% reflects a minority view betting on stronger cooling, but current atmospheric patterns and historical October lows (typically 25–28°C) make significant deviations unlikely without an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover. Traders are pricing in the absence of major weather disruptions, with resolution hinging on official observations from Jeddah stations. Updated model runs ahead of the date could refine these probabilities if any late adjustments emerge in steering patterns or humidity.