**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a low near 76–77°F in Miami on October 1, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow and an unstable air mass with elevated precipitable water values around 1.8–2.2 inches.** No strong cold fronts or high-pressure systems are expected to arrive in the next 48 hours, keeping overnight temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 76.2°F for the date. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, likely during the afternoon and evening, will limit radiational cooling but are unlikely to produce significant drops. This consensus supports the leading market-implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, while lower-probability outcomes below 72°F would require an atypical early-season cool surge not currently indicated in model guidance. Updated NWS briefings and local observations over the next day will be key for any shifts.
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