Forecast models from sources including the Global Forecast System and official Russian meteorological services indicate Moscow's overnight low on October 13 will reach approximately 8°C under cloudy, drizzly conditions with light northerly winds and high humidity near 90 percent. This consensus arises from consistent model runs projecting minimal radiative cooling due to persistent cloud cover and stable atmospheric pressure around 1020 hPa. Trader positioning at 99.6 percent implied probability for 8°C reflects this alignment with verified observational trends and short-range forecasts issued in the prior 24 hours. Deviations could occur if clearing skies enhance nocturnal cooling or if steering winds shift to allow colder air advection, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.