Recent forecasts from models including the ECMWF, GFS, and Met Office indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 will likely settle between 16–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and mild Atlantic air. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer high-pressure setups, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 13–15°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 17°C and 35% for 16°C, aligns with the latest ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below 16°C capture residual model uncertainty and any late adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
17°C 60%
16°C 35%
18°C 11%
15°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
9%
16°C
35%
17°C
60%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 60%
16°C 35%
18°C 11%
15°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$198 Vol.
1%
13°C
$165 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$11 Vol.
9%
16°C
$245 Vol.
35%
17°C
$609 Vol.
60%
18°C
$118 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including the ECMWF, GFS, and Met Office indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 will likely settle between 16–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and mild Atlantic air. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer high-pressure setups, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 13–15°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 17°C and 35% for 16°C, aligns with the latest ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below 16°C capture residual model uncertainty and any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,454Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including the ECMWF, GFS, and Met Office indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 will likely settle between 16–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and mild Atlantic air. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer high-pressure setups, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 13–15°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 17°C and 35% for 16°C, aligns with the latest ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below 16°C capture residual model uncertainty and any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,454Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including the ECMWF, GFS, and Met Office indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 30 will likely settle between 16–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and mild Atlantic air. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer high-pressure setups, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 13–15°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 17°C and 35% for 16°C, aligns with the latest ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around these values, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below 16°C capture residual model uncertainty and any late adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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