Traders see the tight contest between 25°C and 26°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 6 because ensemble forecasts from global models cluster in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers is expected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 24–25°C, though higher humidity and variable wind could limit further drops or allow a slight rebound. Historical data show August lows rarely stray far from this band without a passing front or typhoon influence, neither of which is currently indicated. The next updated model runs and real-time observations overnight will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 2.1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
47%
26°C
42%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 2.1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$161 Vol.
1%
24°C
$179 Vol.
3%
25°C
$462 Vol.
47%
26°C
$355 Vol.
42%
27°C
$243 Vol.
2%
28°C
$296 Vol.
1%
29°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$307 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight contest between 25°C and 26°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 6 because ensemble forecasts from global models cluster in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers is expected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 24–25°C, though higher humidity and variable wind could limit further drops or allow a slight rebound. Historical data show August lows rarely stray far from this band without a passing front or typhoon influence, neither of which is currently indicated. The next updated model runs and real-time observations overnight will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,899Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight contest between 25°C and 26°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 6 because ensemble forecasts from global models cluster in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers is expected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 24–25°C, though higher humidity and variable wind could limit further drops or allow a slight rebound. Historical data show August lows rarely stray far from this band without a passing front or typhoon influence, neither of which is currently indicated. The next updated model runs and real-time observations overnight will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,899Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tight contest between 25°C and 26°C as the most likely minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 6 because ensemble forecasts from global models cluster in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers is expected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 24–25°C, though higher humidity and variable wind could limit further drops or allow a slight rebound. Historical data show August lows rarely stray far from this band without a passing front or typhoon influence, neither of which is currently indicated. The next updated model runs and real-time observations overnight will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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