**Forecast models for August 27, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in Toronto of roughly 16–19 °C, with the tight clustering of market probabilities (25–26.5 % each on 16 °C, 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C) reflecting genuine uncertainty in the exact overnight low.** An approaching frontal system and associated showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and shift winds from southerly to westerly/northwesterly overnight into early morning. This combination limits radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler maritime air, keeping the low above the long-term August average of ~16.8 °C but preventing a sharp drop. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation and the degree of clearing after midnight, which directly affects how low surface temperatures fall before sunrise. Higher probabilities on the 16–19 °C band versus the low odds on 14 °C or below (or 21 °C+) align with current model consensus that places the most likely range inside those four outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official reporting station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Toronto on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 27?
18°C 27%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
19°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
13%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
17%
21°C
24%
22°C
13%
23°C or higher
3%
18°C 27%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
19°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$88 Vol.
4%
14°C
$62 Vol.
13%
15°C
$5 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$20 Vol.
17%
21°C
$4 Vol.
24%
22°C
$42 Vol.
13%
23°C or higher
$37 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for August 27, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in Toronto of roughly 16–19 °C, with the tight clustering of market probabilities (25–26.5 % each on 16 °C, 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C) reflecting genuine uncertainty in the exact overnight low.**
An approaching frontal system and associated showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and shift winds from southerly to westerly/northwesterly overnight into early morning. This combination limits radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler maritime air, keeping the low above the long-term August average of ~16.8 °C but preventing a sharp drop.
Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation and the degree of clearing after midnight, which directly affects how low surface temperatures fall before sunrise. Higher probabilities on the 16–19 °C band versus the low odds on 14 °C or below (or 21 °C+) align with current model consensus that places the most likely range inside those four outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$259Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for August 27, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in Toronto of roughly 16–19 °C, with the tight clustering of market probabilities (25–26.5 % each on 16 °C, 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C) reflecting genuine uncertainty in the exact overnight low.**
An approaching frontal system and associated showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and shift winds from southerly to westerly/northwesterly overnight into early morning. This combination limits radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler maritime air, keeping the low above the long-term August average of ~16.8 °C but preventing a sharp drop.
Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation and the degree of clearing after midnight, which directly affects how low surface temperatures fall before sunrise. Higher probabilities on the 16–19 °C band versus the low odds on 14 °C or below (or 21 °C+) align with current model consensus that places the most likely range inside those four outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$259Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for August 27, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in Toronto of roughly 16–19 °C, with the tight clustering of market probabilities (25–26.5 % each on 16 °C, 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C) reflecting genuine uncertainty in the exact overnight low.** An approaching frontal system and associated showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and shift winds from southerly to westerly/northwesterly overnight into early morning. This combination limits radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler maritime air, keeping the low above the long-term August average of ~16.8 °C but preventing a sharp drop. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation and the degree of clearing after midnight, which directly affects how low surface temperatures fall before sunrise. Higher probabilities on the 16–19 °C band versus the low odds on 14 °C or below (or 21 °C+) align with current model consensus that places the most likely range inside those four outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official reporting station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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