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Politik·Budaya

Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?

icon for Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
Politik·Budaya

Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?

80% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
80% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The state murder trial for Luigi Mangione, accused in the killing of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, is now firmly scheduled to begin on September 8, 2026, after a recent delay from June, driving the 79.5% market-implied probability that he will face trial before 2027. This timeline, combined with ongoing federal proceedings pushed back to January 2027 due to scheduling conflicts between the two cases, gives traders clear conviction in an early resolution. Defense motions for further postponements have been partially granted but have not shifted the state start date past year-end, while prosecutors push for swift justice amid high public interest. Key upcoming catalysts include the May 18 state hearing on evidence suppression and potential federal adjustments, though historical patterns in similar high-profile cases suggest limited additional slippage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 17, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The state murder trial for Luigi Mangione, accused in the killing of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, is now firmly scheduled to begin on September 8, 2026, after a recent delay from June, driving the 79.5% market-implied probability that he will face trial before 2027. This timeline, combined with ongoing federal proceedings pushed back to January 2027 due to scheduling conflicts between the two cases, gives traders clear conviction in an early resolution. Defense motions for further postponements have been partially granted but have not shifted the state start date past year-end, while prosecutors push for swift justice amid high public interest. Key upcoming catalysts include the May 18 state hearing on evidence suppression and potential federal adjustments, though historical patterns in similar high-profile cases suggest limited additional slippage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 17, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 80% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 80¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Dec 17, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?" adalah 80% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 80% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.