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icon for New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?
Olahraga·MLB

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

icon for New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?
Olahraga·MLB

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

39% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
39% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB traders' consensus favors "No" at 61.5% implied probability for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement by Dec. 1, reflecting the fresh start of formal negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA just two days ago on May 12. Initial sessions provided only high-level position overviews amid deep divides over owners' push for a salary cap-and-floor system, revenue sharing reductions, and competitive balance tax adjustments—issues that prolonged the 2021-22 lockout into a 99-day stoppage before the current CBA was finalized. With historical patterns of contentious bargaining dragging into early offseason disruptions and the MLBPA's amassed war chest signaling lockout preparations, the market anticipates no pre-deadline resolution despite the early talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB traders' consensus favors "No" at 61.5% implied probability for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement by Dec. 1, reflecting the fresh start of formal negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA just two days ago on May 12. Initial sessions provided only high-level position overviews amid deep divides over owners' push for a salary cap-and-floor system, revenue sharing reductions, and competitive balance tax adjustments—issues that prolonged the 2021-22 lockout into a 99-day stoppage before the current CBA was finalized. With historical patterns of contentious bargaining dragging into early offseason disruptions and the MLBPA's amassed war chest signaling lockout preparations, the market anticipates no pre-deadline resolution despite the early talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 39% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 39¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 39% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jan 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" adalah 39% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 39% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.