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Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$23,309 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$23,309 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$3,570 Vol.

73%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$375 Vol.

44%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$784 Vol.

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$95 Vol.

30%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,022 Vol.

18%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Vol.

21%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$348 Vol.

19%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$200 Vol.

13%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$494 Vol.

12%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Vol.

11%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Vol.

10%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$102 Vol.

10%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$428 Vol.

10%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,059 Vol.

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Vol.

14%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Vol.

8%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$66 Vol.

6%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$136 Vol.

6%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Vol.

23%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$61 Vol.

5%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$460 Vol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$892 Vol.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,047 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,148 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$929 Vol.

3%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$126 Vol.

3%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$988 Vol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,849 Vol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Vol.

3%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,690 Vol.

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$551 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,520 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$973 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$668 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,082 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Vol.

27%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$23,309
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$23,309
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 36 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jordan Bardella" di 73%, diikuti oleh "Édouard Philippe" di 44%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 73¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" telah menghasilkan $23.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," jelajahi 36 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" adalah "Jordan Bardella" di 73%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Édouard Philippe" di 44%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.