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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 18.9%

Callum Turner 16%

Jack Lowden 11.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.6%

Polymarket

$64,548 Vol.

No Bond chosen 18.9%

Callum Turner 16%

Jack Lowden 11.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.6%

Polymarket

$64,548 Vol.

No Bond chosen

$14,012 Vol.

19%

Callum Turner

$25,996 Vol.

16%

Jack Lowden

$6,103 Vol.

12%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$4,412 Vol.

12%

Jacob Elordi

$2,032 Vol.

10%

Theo James

$793 Vol.

10%

Harris Dickinson

$1,035 Vol.

7%

Henry Cavill

$849 Vol.

7%

James Norton

$627 Vol.

5%

Josh O'Connor

$2,120 Vol.

4%

Tom Hardy

$2,370 Vol.

2%

Tom Holland

$1,092 Vol.

2%

Paul Mescal

$861 Vol.

1%

Robert James-Collier

$508 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$456 Vol.

1%

Timothee Chalamet

$616 Vol.

1%

Michael B Jordan

$666 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No official announcement has kept "No Bond chosen" narrowly ahead in trader sentiment, reflecting the wide-open casting process for the next 007. Callum Turner holds the strongest momentum among contenders thanks to persistent betting-market favor, George Clooney's public endorsement, and his established British leading-man profile, though he has downplayed involvement. Close behind sit Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Jack Lowden, with Jacob Elordi also generating heat from reported meetings. The field remains fluid because Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve continue auditions through casting director Nina Gold, prioritizing actors in their 30s suited for a multi-film commitment. Fresh updates on frontrunner status or shortlists could quickly shift the market-implied odds before any end-of-2026 reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,548
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No official announcement has kept "No Bond chosen" narrowly ahead in trader sentiment, reflecting the wide-open casting process for the next 007. Callum Turner holds the strongest momentum among contenders thanks to persistent betting-market favor, George Clooney's public endorsement, and his established British leading-man profile, though he has downplayed involvement. Close behind sit Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Jack Lowden, with Jacob Elordi also generating heat from reported meetings. The field remains fluid because Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve continue auditions through casting director Nina Gold, prioritizing actors in their 30s suited for a multi-film commitment. Fresh updates on frontrunner status or shortlists could quickly shift the market-implied odds before any end-of-2026 reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,548
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "No Bond chosen" di 19%, diikuti oleh "Callum Turner" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 19¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next James Bond actor?" telah menghasilkan $64.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next James Bond actor?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next James Bond actor?" adalah "No Bond chosen" di 19%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Callum Turner" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next James Bond actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.