The September 2026 launch window for the DOGE-1 CubeSat on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare with the IM-3 mission slipped without liftoff, shifting trader focus to a potential Q1 2027 net date amid years of prior delays since the 2021 Dogecoin-funded announcement. Geometric Energy Corporation's payload remains pre-launch on manifests, with no confirmed orbital insertion or imagery operations, while historical rideshare queuing and regulatory factors continue to shape timelines. Market-implied odds reflect this pattern of slippage, tempered by SpaceX's manifest updates and any late-stage integration news that could accelerate or further postpone the crypto-funded lunar orbit attempt. Traders watch for official readiness reviews or weather windows as key swing catalysts in a high-uncertainty space sector.