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icon for Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

icon for Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?

Ya

8% peluang
Polymarket

$800,237 Vol.

Ya

8% peluang
Polymarket

$800,237 Vol.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.4% implied probability against the Doge-1 12U CubeSat launching before 2027, driven by over five years of repeated delays since its 2021 announcement as a SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare payload, originally targeting Q1 2022. Hardware issues, now reportedly resolved in September 2025, combined with the lack of a firm slot on SpaceX's packed 2026 manifest—despite Geometric Energy Corporation's mid-2026 window and a September target—leave scant time for integration, environmental testing, and lunar trajectory alignment with just seven months remaining. Elon Musk's February 2026 "maybe next year" remark further tempers optimism. A sudden rideshare opening or accelerated readiness could shift odds, with key updates from SpaceX manifests ahead.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$800,237
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.4% implied probability against the Doge-1 12U CubeSat launching before 2027, driven by over five years of repeated delays since its 2021 announcement as a SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare payload, originally targeting Q1 2022. Hardware issues, now reportedly resolved in September 2025, combined with the lack of a firm slot on SpaceX's packed 2026 manifest—despite Geometric Energy Corporation's mid-2026 window and a September target—leave scant time for integration, environmental testing, and lunar trajectory alignment with just seven months remaining. Elon Musk's February 2026 "maybe next year" remark further tempers optimism. A sudden rideshare opening or accelerated readiness could shift odds, with key updates from SpaceX manifests ahead.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$800,237
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Apakah Misi Doge-1 ke Bulan akan diluncurkan sebelum tahun 2027?" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 8¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $800.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" adalah "Apakah Misi Doge-1 ke Bulan akan diluncurkan sebelum tahun 2027?" di hanya 8%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Akankah Misi Bulan DOGE -1 diluncurkan sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.