SpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$70,283 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
3%
December 31, 2027
49%
$70,283 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$46,234 Vol.
3%
December 31, 2027
$24,049 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$70,283Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$70,283Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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