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icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$6,470 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31, 2026

$1,427 Vol.

2%

December 31, 2026

$4,825 Vol.

35%

June 30, 2027

$219 Vol.

77%

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues advancing Starship flight tests from its Texas Starbase facility, with the thirteenth integrated test flight completed in July 2026 and the next orbital attempt targeted for Q3. Trader sentiment on a Florida debut by late 2026 centers on the pace of FAA licensing, environmental reviews, and infrastructure readiness at Kennedy Space Center's LC-39A, where Falcon vehicles already operate but Starship-specific modifications remain pending. Delays in achieving reliable booster catch-and-reuse or addressing range safety concerns could push timelines, while successful Texas iterations and NASA partnerships may accelerate approvals. Key upcoming catalysts include additional test flights and any new regulatory filings that clarify launch cadence potential from the East Coast.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,470
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues advancing Starship flight tests from its Texas Starbase facility, with the thirteenth integrated test flight completed in July 2026 and the next orbital attempt targeted for Q3. Trader sentiment on a Florida debut by late 2026 centers on the pace of FAA licensing, environmental reviews, and infrastructure readiness at Kennedy Space Center's LC-39A, where Falcon vehicles already operate but Starship-specific modifications remain pending. Delays in achieving reliable booster catch-and-reuse or addressing range safety concerns could push timelines, while successful Texas iterations and NASA partnerships may accelerate approvals. Key upcoming catalysts include additional test flights and any new regulatory filings that clarify launch cadence potential from the East Coast.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,470
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "June 30, 2027" di 78%, diikuti oleh "December 31, 2026" di 35%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" adalah "June 30, 2027" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "December 31, 2026" di 35%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.