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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 33.9%

No Bond chosen 20.6%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 8.2%

Polymarket

$98,732 Vol.

Jack Lowden 33.9%

No Bond chosen 20.6%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 8.2%

Polymarket

$98,732 Vol.

Jack Lowden

$16,456 Vol.

34%

No Bond chosen

$17,942 Vol.

21%

Callum Turner

$31,741 Vol.

16%

Jacob Elordi

$3,585 Vol.

8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$5,436 Vol.

7%

Theo James

$6,002 Vol.

6%

Josh O'Connor

$2,778 Vol.

1%

Harris Dickinson

$1,705 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$3,322 Vol.

1%

Tom Holland

$1,658 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$1,417 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$854 Vol.

1%

Timothee Chalamet

$1,081 Vol.

1%

Henry Cavill

$1,499 Vol.

<1%

James Norton

$1,247 Vol.

<1%

Michael B Jordan

$1,105 Vol.

<1%

Robert James-Collier

$906 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent podcast remarks from Richard Osman have propelled Jack Lowden into the lead among traders, highlighting his understated intensity from Slow Horses and Scottish roots as fitting the franchise’s preference for a fresh yet credible British lead in his thirties. Callum Turner’s earlier frontrunner status, backed by George Clooney’s endorsement, has cooled amid reports that producers seek less-exposed talent, while Jacob Elordi’s reported meetings with director Denis Villeneuve and producers generated buzz before nationality and schedule concerns tempered support. Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Theo James remain in the mix for their established action credentials, but the wide dispersion across names reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of an expected late-2026 announcement and the weight given to guild and insider signals over public speculation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$98,732
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent podcast remarks from Richard Osman have propelled Jack Lowden into the lead among traders, highlighting his understated intensity from Slow Horses and Scottish roots as fitting the franchise’s preference for a fresh yet credible British lead in his thirties. Callum Turner’s earlier frontrunner status, backed by George Clooney’s endorsement, has cooled amid reports that producers seek less-exposed talent, while Jacob Elordi’s reported meetings with director Denis Villeneuve and producers generated buzz before nationality and schedule concerns tempered support. Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Theo James remain in the mix for their established action credentials, but the wide dispersion across names reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of an expected late-2026 announcement and the weight given to guild and insider signals over public speculation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$98,732
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jack Lowden" di 34%, diikuti oleh "No Bond chosen" di 21%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 34¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next James Bond actor?" telah menghasilkan $98.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next James Bond actor?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next James Bond actor?" adalah "Jack Lowden" di 34%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "No Bond chosen" di 21%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next James Bond actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.