Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a raid in Caracas, after which he and his wife were transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug-trafficking, money-laundering, and related charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has focused on releasing other political prisoners under an amnesty process but has not secured Maduro’s return, while Venezuelan officials continue to demand his immediate release through diplomatic channels including the UN Human Rights Council. Trader sentiment reflects the legal and diplomatic barriers to any near-term release, including the status of U.S. prosecutions, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral pressures tied to oil policy and sanctions, with no scheduled events or confirmed developments indicating imminent resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2,687,782 Vol.
Jan 30, 2026
31 Desember
7%
$2,687,782 Vol.
31 Desember
$292,333 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a raid in Caracas, after which he and his wife were transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug-trafficking, money-laundering, and related charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has focused on releasing other political prisoners under an amnesty process but has not secured Maduro’s return, while Venezuelan officials continue to demand his immediate release through diplomatic channels including the UN Human Rights Council. Trader sentiment reflects the legal and diplomatic barriers to any near-term release, including the status of U.S. prosecutions, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral pressures tied to oil policy and sanctions, with no scheduled events or confirmed developments indicating imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,687,782Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a raid in Caracas, after which he and his wife were transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug-trafficking, money-laundering, and related charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has focused on releasing other political prisoners under an amnesty process but has not secured Maduro’s return, while Venezuelan officials continue to demand his immediate release through diplomatic channels including the UN Human Rights Council. Trader sentiment reflects the legal and diplomatic barriers to any near-term release, including the status of U.S. prosecutions, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral pressures tied to oil policy and sanctions, with no scheduled events or confirmed developments indicating imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,687,782Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a raid in Caracas, after which he and his wife were transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug-trafficking, money-laundering, and related charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has focused on releasing other political prisoners under an amnesty process but has not secured Maduro’s return, while Venezuelan officials continue to demand his immediate release through diplomatic channels including the UN Human Rights Council. Trader sentiment reflects the legal and diplomatic barriers to any near-term release, including the status of U.S. prosecutions, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral pressures tied to oil policy and sanctions, with no scheduled events or confirmed developments indicating imminent resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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