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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

The Odyssey 34%

The Social Reckoning 34%

All of a Sudden 32%

The Black Ball 30%

Polymarket
BARU

The Odyssey 34%

The Social Reckoning 34%

All of a Sudden 32%

The Black Ball 30%

Polymarket
BARU

The Odyssey

$1 Vol.

34%

The Social Reckoning

$0 Vol.

34%

All of a Sudden

$0 Vol.

32%

The Black Ball

$0 Vol.

30%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$0 Vol.

30%

The Whisper Man

$0 Vol.

30%

Ink

$0 Vol.

28%

Project Hail Mary

$0 Vol.

28%

Wildwood

$0 Vol.

28%

Saturn Return

$0 Vol.

27%

The Invite

$0 Vol.

26%

Cry to Heaven

$0 Vol.

26%

Clarissa

$0 Vol.

26%

Dune: Part Three

$0 Vol.

19%

Toy Story 5

$100 Vol.

18%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar at 34% implied probability due to its strong summer release, 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, and widespread Academy screenings generating early momentum behind Christopher Nolan’s ambitious take on Homer’s epic. Project Hail Mary (22%) follows closely on the strength of its timely Andy Weir adaptation, Ryan Gosling’s lead performance, and Lord-Miller direction, while The Adventures of Cliff Booth (22.5%) and other announced contenders such as Dune: Part Three benefit from high-profile source material and talent. With most named titles clustered between 16–30% and dozens of unannounced projects at 50%, the market reflects a wide-open field typical of late-summer 2026, where guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will determine which adaptations gain decisive traction ahead of the ceremony.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar at 34% implied probability due to its strong summer release, 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, and widespread Academy screenings generating early momentum behind Christopher Nolan’s ambitious take on Homer’s epic. Project Hail Mary (22%) follows closely on the strength of its timely Andy Weir adaptation, Ryan Gosling’s lead performance, and Lord-Miller direction, while The Adventures of Cliff Booth (22.5%) and other announced contenders such as Dune: Part Three benefit from high-profile source material and talent. With most named titles clustered between 16–30% and dozens of unannounced projects at 50%, the market reflects a wide-open field typical of late-summer 2026, where guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will determine which adaptations gain decisive traction ahead of the ceremony.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "The Odyssey" di 34%, diikuti oleh "The Social Reckoning" di 34%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 34¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 6, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner" adalah "The Odyssey" di 34%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "The Social Reckoning" di 34%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.