Paloma Valencia’s performance in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, where she received roughly 7 percent amid a fragmented center-right field, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for under 10 percent. Strong primary results in March for the Centro Democrático nominee gave way to rapid erosion once independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella consolidated anti-Petro support through security-focused messaging and outsider appeal. Valencia’s establishment positioning, running mate choice, and limited differentiation failed to broaden her coalition beyond core Uribista voters. Official tallies and the absence of recounts or disputes leave little scope for material upward revision unless late procedural adjustments emerge before final certification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<10%
100%
10-15%
<1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<10%
$7,693 Vol.
100%
10-15%
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
15-20%
$733 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
25-30%
$2,496 Vol.
<1%
30-35%
$688 Vol.
<1%
35%+
$415 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia’s performance in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, where she received roughly 7 percent amid a fragmented center-right field, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for under 10 percent. Strong primary results in March for the Centro Democrático nominee gave way to rapid erosion once independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella consolidated anti-Petro support through security-focused messaging and outsider appeal. Valencia’s establishment positioning, running mate choice, and limited differentiation failed to broaden her coalition beyond core Uribista voters. Official tallies and the absence of recounts or disputes leave little scope for material upward revision unless late procedural adjustments emerge before final certification.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volume
$14,641Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia’s performance in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, where she received roughly 7 percent amid a fragmented center-right field, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for under 10 percent. Strong primary results in March for the Centro Democrático nominee gave way to rapid erosion once independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella consolidated anti-Petro support through security-focused messaging and outsider appeal. Valencia’s establishment positioning, running mate choice, and limited differentiation failed to broaden her coalition beyond core Uribista voters. Official tallies and the absence of recounts or disputes leave little scope for material upward revision unless late procedural adjustments emerge before final certification.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$14,641Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paloma Valencia’s performance in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, where she received roughly 7 percent amid a fragmented center-right field, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for under 10 percent. Strong primary results in March for the Centro Democrático nominee gave way to rapid erosion once independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella consolidated anti-Petro support through security-focused messaging and outsider appeal. Valencia’s establishment positioning, running mate choice, and limited differentiation failed to broaden her coalition beyond core Uribista voters. Official tallies and the absence of recounts or disputes leave little scope for material upward revision unless late procedural adjustments emerge before final certification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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