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icon for Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?

icon for Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?

63% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
63% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's close strategic partnership with Iran, reinforced by Vladimir Putin's April 2026 meeting with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid ongoing regional tensions, underpins the 74.5% trader consensus for a meeting by August 31. The scheduled Caspian Sea summit in Tehran on August 12 provides a clear near-term venue for high-level engagement, potentially including Iran's leadership, despite the conflict backdrop. Recent diplomacy, including Putin's comments on mediating tensions and sustained alliance pledges, signals continued direct contact. Traders weigh these established channels and the fixed August timeline against any last-minute disruptions from broader Middle East developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$952
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's close strategic partnership with Iran, reinforced by Vladimir Putin's April 2026 meeting with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid ongoing regional tensions, underpins the 74.5% trader consensus for a meeting by August 31. The scheduled Caspian Sea summit in Tehran on August 12 provides a clear near-term venue for high-level engagement, potentially including Iran's leadership, despite the conflict backdrop. Recent diplomacy, including Putin's comments on mediating tensions and sustained alliance pledges, signals continued direct contact. Traders weigh these established channels and the fixed August timeline against any last-minute disruptions from broader Middle East developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$952
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 61% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 61¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 61% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 3, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?" adalah 61% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 61% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.