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Economy·RBI

Reserve Bank of India decision in August

icon for Reserve Bank of India decision in August
Economy·RBI

Reserve Bank of India decision in August

Aug 5

Aug 5

No Change 100%

Increase 100%

Decrease 50%

Polymarket
BARU

No Change 100%

Increase 100%

Decrease 50%

Polymarket
BARU

Decrease

$0 Vol.

50%

No Change

$0 Vol.

100%

Increase

$0 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in Indian inflation and global energy markets have created balanced trader expectations for the RBI's August 2026 repo rate decision, currently priced near even odds across decrease, no change, and increase outcomes. The central bank held the policy rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance at its June meeting, while lifting its FY27 CPI inflation forecast to 5.1% from 4.6% amid West Asia tensions, higher oil prices, and supply disruptions, even as current readings remain below the 4% target. This upward revision, paired with a trimmed GDP growth projection to 6.6%, underscores competing pressures: potential rate hikes to anchor inflation expectations and defend the rupee versus support for moderating domestic demand. Key swing factors include July CPI prints, monsoon performance, and crude oil trajectories ahead of the early-August MPC meeting. Market-implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty in the near-term policy path.

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026.

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in Indian inflation and global energy markets have created balanced trader expectations for the RBI's August 2026 repo rate decision, currently priced near even odds across decrease, no change, and increase outcomes. The central bank held the policy rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance at its June meeting, while lifting its FY27 CPI inflation forecast to 5.1% from 4.6% amid West Asia tensions, higher oil prices, and supply disruptions, even as current readings remain below the 4% target. This upward revision, paired with a trimmed GDP growth projection to 6.6%, underscores competing pressures: potential rate hikes to anchor inflation expectations and defend the rupee versus support for moderating domestic demand. Key swing factors include July CPI prints, monsoon performance, and crude oil trajectories ahead of the early-August MPC meeting. Market-implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty in the near-term policy path.

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026.

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Reserve Bank of India decision in August" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Decrease" di 50%, diikuti oleh "No Change" di 50%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 50¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Reserve Bank of India decision in August" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 30, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Reserve Bank of India decision in August," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Reserve Bank of India decision in August" adalah "Decrease" di 50%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "No Change" di 50%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Reserve Bank of India decision in August" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.