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What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

icon for What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
Keuangan·Sembunyikan Dari Baru

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

>$8,000 35%

$7,500-$8,000 21%

$7,000-$7,500 16%

$6,500-$7,000 12%

Polymarket

$39,542 Vol.

>$8,000 35%

$7,500-$8,000 21%

$7,000-$7,500 16%

$6,500-$7,000 12%

Polymarket

$39,542 Vol.

<$6,000

$20,382 Vol.

6%

$6,000-$6,500

$2,301 Vol.

8%

$6,500-$7,000

$4,408 Vol.

12%

$7,000-$7,500

$2,460 Vol.

17%

$7,500-$8,000

$3,974 Vol.

21%

>$8,000

$6,018 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment in the S&P 500 end-of-2026 close market shows the >$8,000 outcome leading at 39.5% amid the index trading near 7,750 in mid-August, fueled by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 24% for 2026 and ongoing AI-driven capital expenditures. Recent analyst revisions, including Goldman Sachs lifting its year-end target to 8,000, reflect resilient economic data and expectations for Federal Reserve policy support as inflation moderates. Market-implied odds price in continued equity gains from current levels, though narrow leadership concentration and potential geopolitical or energy price shocks introduce uncertainty around whether momentum sustains above 8,000 or settles in the $7,500–$8,000 range.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$39,542
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment in the S&P 500 end-of-2026 close market shows the >$8,000 outcome leading at 39.5% amid the index trading near 7,750 in mid-August, fueled by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 24% for 2026 and ongoing AI-driven capital expenditures. Recent analyst revisions, including Goldman Sachs lifting its year-end target to 8,000, reflect resilient economic data and expectations for Federal Reserve policy support as inflation moderates. Market-implied odds price in continued equity gains from current levels, though narrow leadership concentration and potential geopolitical or energy price shocks introduce uncertainty around whether momentum sustains above 8,000 or settles in the $7,500–$8,000 range.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$39,542
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah ">$8,000" di 40%, diikuti oleh "$7,500-$8,000" di 21%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 40¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" telah menghasilkan $39.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 6, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" adalah ">$8,000" di 40%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$7,500-$8,000" di 21%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.