Recent cooler-than-expected July CPI and PPI readings have eased concerns over persistent inflation tied to earlier Middle East supply shocks, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent and reducing near-term hike odds. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,800 after a record close and roughly 14 percent year-to-date gains driven by resilient corporate earnings and technology leadership, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (43.5 percent) to a close above 8,000. Analysts' base-case targets cluster in the 7,800-8,100 range, reflecting upgraded full-year EPS growth estimates near 24-25 percent. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and third-quarter earnings releases that could further shape rate-path and valuation expectations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
>$8,000 44%
$7,500-$8,000 23%
$7,000-$7,500 16%
$6,500-$7,000 12%
$39,789 Vol.
$39,789 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
6%
$6,000-$6,500
7%
$6,500-$7,000
12%
$7,000-$7,500
16%
$7,500-$8,000
23%
>$8,000
44%
>$8,000 44%
$7,500-$8,000 23%
$7,000-$7,500 16%
$6,500-$7,000 12%
$39,789 Vol.
$39,789 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$20,527 Vol.
6%
$6,000-$6,500
$2,312 Vol.
7%
$6,500-$7,000
$4,408 Vol.
12%
$7,000-$7,500
$2,460 Vol.
16%
$7,500-$8,000
$4,035 Vol.
23%
>$8,000
$6,048 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent cooler-than-expected July CPI and PPI readings have eased concerns over persistent inflation tied to earlier Middle East supply shocks, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent and reducing near-term hike odds. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,800 after a record close and roughly 14 percent year-to-date gains driven by resilient corporate earnings and technology leadership, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (43.5 percent) to a close above 8,000. Analysts' base-case targets cluster in the 7,800-8,100 range, reflecting upgraded full-year EPS growth estimates near 24-25 percent. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and third-quarter earnings releases that could further shape rate-path and valuation expectations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$39,789Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent cooler-than-expected July CPI and PPI readings have eased concerns over persistent inflation tied to earlier Middle East supply shocks, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent and reducing near-term hike odds. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,800 after a record close and roughly 14 percent year-to-date gains driven by resilient corporate earnings and technology leadership, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (43.5 percent) to a close above 8,000. Analysts' base-case targets cluster in the 7,800-8,100 range, reflecting upgraded full-year EPS growth estimates near 24-25 percent. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and third-quarter earnings releases that could further shape rate-path and valuation expectations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$39,789Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent cooler-than-expected July CPI and PPI readings have eased concerns over persistent inflation tied to earlier Middle East supply shocks, supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent and reducing near-term hike odds. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,800 after a record close and roughly 14 percent year-to-date gains driven by resilient corporate earnings and technology leadership, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (43.5 percent) to a close above 8,000. Analysts' base-case targets cluster in the 7,800-8,100 range, reflecting upgraded full-year EPS growth estimates near 24-25 percent. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and third-quarter earnings releases that could further shape rate-path and valuation expectations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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