Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, including a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative limiting fireworks, another initiative addressing federal tax treatment of married couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material governing exports and controls. Recent polling trends from the September 27 neutrality and food security votes show consistent voter preference for government-backed positions over restrictive popular initiatives, particularly those advanced by the Swiss People’s Party. The war material amendment has drawn limited opposition so far, while the VAT decree benefits from its status as a parliamentary decree and pension funding needs. Popular initiatives face higher barriers, requiring both popular and cantonal majorities. No major new campaign developments have emerged since the June rejection of the population cap initiative.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVAT federal decree
65%
Fireworks restriction initiative
21%
Marriage taxation initiative
20%
War Material amendment
54%
$7,678 Vol.
VAT federal decree
65%
Fireworks restriction initiative
21%
Marriage taxation initiative
20%
War Material amendment
54%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, including a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative limiting fireworks, another initiative addressing federal tax treatment of married couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material governing exports and controls. Recent polling trends from the September 27 neutrality and food security votes show consistent voter preference for government-backed positions over restrictive popular initiatives, particularly those advanced by the Swiss People’s Party. The war material amendment has drawn limited opposition so far, while the VAT decree benefits from its status as a parliamentary decree and pension funding needs. Popular initiatives face higher barriers, requiring both popular and cantonal majorities. No major new campaign developments have emerged since the June rejection of the population cap initiative.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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