Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus for the August 18 Titled Tuesday due to their unmatched recent form in the weekly Chess.com blitz Swiss, where Carlsen claimed the August 4 title with 9.5/11 ahead of Arjun Erigaisi and Nakamura. Nakamura’s all-time record of 93 victories and consistent high ratings underscore his edge in the 5+0 format, yet the deep field of elite GMs—including Nodirbek Abdusattorov, Alireza Firouzja, and Ian Nepomniachtchi—keeps probabilities clustered because any participant can post a hot streak or exploit the single-elimination risk of an 11-round Swiss. Historical patterns show frequent upsets from rising talents and veterans alike, sustaining the bunched implied probabilities near the top.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMagnus Carlsen 35%
Hikaru Nakamura 26%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
22%
Hikaru Nakamura
23%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Magnus Carlsen 35%
Hikaru Nakamura 26%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
22%
Hikaru Nakamura
23%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus for the August 18 Titled Tuesday due to their unmatched recent form in the weekly Chess.com blitz Swiss, where Carlsen claimed the August 4 title with 9.5/11 ahead of Arjun Erigaisi and Nakamura. Nakamura’s all-time record of 93 victories and consistent high ratings underscore his edge in the 5+0 format, yet the deep field of elite GMs—including Nodirbek Abdusattorov, Alireza Firouzja, and Ian Nepomniachtchi—keeps probabilities clustered because any participant can post a hot streak or exploit the single-elimination risk of an 11-round Swiss. Historical patterns show frequent upsets from rising talents and veterans alike, sustaining the bunched implied probabilities near the top.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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