Tesla shares closed the prior week at $342.27 amid elevated volatility, with recent swings between $335 and $351 reflecting mixed post-Q2 earnings sentiment after a revenue beat but EPS miss. Trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered across $320–$365 buckets because near-term price action hinges on competing forces: speculation around a redesigned Roadster with potential stunt capabilities and autonomous driving updates versus lingering margin compression, delivery trends, and institutional positioning shifts. This balanced distribution underscores uncertainty ahead of any fresh catalysts, as markets price in a wide range of outcomes consistent with Tesla’s history of rapid sentiment swings driven by product news and sector multiples.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui>$365 18%
<$320 16%
$340-$345 15%
$335-$340 15%
<$320
16%
$320-$325
7%
$325-$330
8%
$330-$335
14%
$335-$340
15%
$340-$345
15%
$345-$350
13%
$350-$355
12%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
11%
>$365
18%
>$365 18%
<$320 16%
$340-$345 15%
$335-$340 15%
<$320
16%
$320-$325
7%
$325-$330
8%
$330-$335
14%
$335-$340
15%
$340-$345
15%
$345-$350
13%
$350-$355
12%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
11%
>$365
18%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed the prior week at $342.27 amid elevated volatility, with recent swings between $335 and $351 reflecting mixed post-Q2 earnings sentiment after a revenue beat but EPS miss. Trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered across $320–$365 buckets because near-term price action hinges on competing forces: speculation around a redesigned Roadster with potential stunt capabilities and autonomous driving updates versus lingering margin compression, delivery trends, and institutional positioning shifts. This balanced distribution underscores uncertainty ahead of any fresh catalysts, as markets price in a wide range of outcomes consistent with Tesla’s history of rapid sentiment swings driven by product news and sector multiples.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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