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Politik·Senat Texas

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

icon for Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Politik·Senat Texas

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

1.2–1.5M 26.4%

0.6–0.9M 14%

0.9–1.2M 11%

1.5–1.8M 9.0%

Polymarket

$88,721 Vol.

1.2–1.5M 26.4%

0.6–0.9M 14%

0.9–1.2M 11%

1.5–1.8M 9.0%

Polymarket

$88,721 Vol.

<0.6M

$998 Vol.

3%

0.6–0.9M

$53,286 Vol.

14%

0.9–1.2M

$1,101 Vol.

18%

1.2–1.5M

$24,788 Vol.

37%

1.5–1.8M

$576 Vol.

9%

1.8–2.1M

$1,739 Vol.

32%

2.1–2.4M

$2,047 Vol.

1%

2.4–2.7M

$2,494 Vol.

1%

2.7M+

$1,693 Vol.

1%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2–2.1 million votes for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff, reflecting uncertainty in turnout drop-off from the record March first-round GOP primary amid a high-stakes contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. A University of Houston poll released May 5 showed Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, fueling intense mobilization by establishment backers for Cornyn and Paxton's populist supporters, countering typical 40-60% historical runoff declines. Early voting begins May 18, with strong initial numbers, late endorsements, or favorable weather potentially boosting toward 1.8–2.1 million, while apathy or heat could pull toward lower bins.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,721
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2–2.1 million votes for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff, reflecting uncertainty in turnout drop-off from the record March first-round GOP primary amid a high-stakes contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. A University of Houston poll released May 5 showed Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, fueling intense mobilization by establishment backers for Cornyn and Paxton's populist supporters, countering typical 40-60% historical runoff declines. Early voting begins May 18, with strong initial numbers, late endorsements, or favorable weather potentially boosting toward 1.8–2.1 million, while apathy or heat could pull toward lower bins.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,721
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "1.2–1.5M" di 37%, diikuti oleh "1.8–2.1M" di 32%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 37¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" telah menghasilkan $88.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" adalah "1.2–1.5M" di 37%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "1.8–2.1M" di 32%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.