The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested heading into the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton leading 48% to 45% among likely GOP voters and just 7% undecided. Most primary supporters have consolidated behind their original choice, leaving limited room for late shifts despite a heavy barrage of negative ads from both campaigns. Cornyn’s substantial fundraising and spending advantage has failed to create separation so far, reflecting a polarized electorate where base mobilization on issues such as border security and conservative priorities drives turnout in this low-information contest. Traders price a range of narrow margins as the most probable outcomes because the race’s final result hinges on which side better turns out its committed voters in the closing days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPaxton 6–9% 23%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Cornyn <3% 14.5%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 Vol.
$59,275 Vol.
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
16%
Paxton 6–9%
23%
Paxton 3–6%
14%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
5%
Cornyn 9%+
10%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Cornyn <3% 14.5%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 Vol.
$59,275 Vol.
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
$11,914 Vol.
16%
Paxton 6–9%
$6,727 Vol.
23%
Paxton 3–6%
$5,750 Vol.
14%
Paxton <3%
$7,085 Vol.
11%
Cornyn <3%
$5,174 Vol.
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
$5,243 Vol.
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,306 Vol.
5%
Cornyn 9%+
$12,076 Vol.
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested heading into the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton leading 48% to 45% among likely GOP voters and just 7% undecided. Most primary supporters have consolidated behind their original choice, leaving limited room for late shifts despite a heavy barrage of negative ads from both campaigns. Cornyn’s substantial fundraising and spending advantage has failed to create separation so far, reflecting a polarized electorate where base mobilization on issues such as border security and conservative priorities drives turnout in this low-information contest. Traders price a range of narrow margins as the most probable outcomes because the race’s final result hinges on which side better turns out its committed voters in the closing days.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$59,275Tanggal Berakhir
May 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested heading into the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton leading 48% to 45% among likely GOP voters and just 7% undecided. Most primary supporters have consolidated behind their original choice, leaving limited room for late shifts despite a heavy barrage of negative ads from both campaigns. Cornyn’s substantial fundraising and spending advantage has failed to create separation so far, reflecting a polarized electorate where base mobilization on issues such as border security and conservative priorities drives turnout in this low-information contest. Traders price a range of narrow margins as the most probable outcomes because the race’s final result hinges on which side better turns out its committed voters in the closing days.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$59,275Tanggal Berakhir
May 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested heading into the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton leading 48% to 45% among likely GOP voters and just 7% undecided. Most primary supporters have consolidated behind their original choice, leaving limited room for late shifts despite a heavy barrage of negative ads from both campaigns. Cornyn’s substantial fundraising and spending advantage has failed to create separation so far, reflecting a polarized electorate where base mobilization on issues such as border security and conservative priorities drives turnout in this low-information contest. Traders price a range of narrow margins as the most probable outcomes because the race’s final result hinges on which side better turns out its committed voters in the closing days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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