Trader consensus favors former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Bobby Charles at 52.5% implied probability to win Maine's June 9 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his internal McLaughlin poll from late April showing 47% first-choice support among 300 likely voters—far ahead of Jonathan Bush and Garrett Mason at 11% each and Ben Midgley at 10%. Charles solidified his lead with bold spending-cut proposals during his first TV debate appearance alongside rivals on May 13 in Portland, after skipping earlier forums. Midgley's 22.5% reflects straw poll wins like April's statewide survey, but voter polling lags; Mason's 14.5% draws on his prior Senate leadership. With ranked-choice voting in play, upcoming events like county caucuses could consolidate the fragmented field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRobert Charles 54%
Ben Midgley 22%
Garrett Mason 11%
Jonathan Bush 7.6%
$27,996 Vol.
$27,996 Vol.
Robert Charles
54%
Ben Midgley
22%
Garrett Mason
11%
Jonathan Bush
8%
Ken Capron
1%
David Jones
1%
Robert Wessels
1%
James Libby
1%
Owen McCarthy
1%
Robert Charles 54%
Ben Midgley 22%
Garrett Mason 11%
Jonathan Bush 7.6%
$27,996 Vol.
$27,996 Vol.
Robert Charles
54%
Ben Midgley
22%
Garrett Mason
11%
Jonathan Bush
8%
Ken Capron
1%
David Jones
1%
Robert Wessels
1%
James Libby
1%
Owen McCarthy
1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Bobby Charles at 52.5% implied probability to win Maine's June 9 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his internal McLaughlin poll from late April showing 47% first-choice support among 300 likely voters—far ahead of Jonathan Bush and Garrett Mason at 11% each and Ben Midgley at 10%. Charles solidified his lead with bold spending-cut proposals during his first TV debate appearance alongside rivals on May 13 in Portland, after skipping earlier forums. Midgley's 22.5% reflects straw poll wins like April's statewide survey, but voter polling lags; Mason's 14.5% draws on his prior Senate leadership. With ranked-choice voting in play, upcoming events like county caucuses could consolidate the fragmented field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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