The top-two primary system for California's June 2, 2026 gubernatorial election has produced trader consensus favoring Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra to advance, driven by a crowded Democratic field that includes Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Matt Mahan, Antonio Villaraigosa, and Tony Thurmond. Recent Emerson College polling showed Becerra at 19 percent among Democrats, yet vote splitting among multiple candidates has kept Republican support consolidated behind Hilton, who received a Trump endorsement that boosted his position over Chad Bianco. Late-April debates highlighted policy contrasts on housing, crime, and taxes without shifting the frontrunners, while mail-in voting begins soon. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final consolidation among Democratic voters before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$659,628 Vol.
Steve Hilton
72%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
37%
Matt Mahan
5%
Chad Bianco
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Ethan Agarwal
2%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
David Thelen
2%
Eric Swalwell
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Betty Yee
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Brandon Jones
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Javen Allen
7%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
$659,628 Vol.
Steve Hilton
72%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
37%
Matt Mahan
5%
Chad Bianco
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Ethan Agarwal
2%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
David Thelen
2%
Eric Swalwell
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Betty Yee
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Brandon Jones
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Javen Allen
7%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The top-two primary system for California's June 2, 2026 gubernatorial election has produced trader consensus favoring Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra to advance, driven by a crowded Democratic field that includes Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Matt Mahan, Antonio Villaraigosa, and Tony Thurmond. Recent Emerson College polling showed Becerra at 19 percent among Democrats, yet vote splitting among multiple candidates has kept Republican support consolidated behind Hilton, who received a Trump endorsement that boosted his position over Chad Bianco. Late-April debates highlighted policy contrasts on housing, crime, and taxes without shifting the frontrunners, while mail-in voting begins soon. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final consolidation among Democratic voters before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan