The Democratic Party’s commanding national position, anchored by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval above 60 percent and control of the National Assembly, fuels expectations of at least 11 governor and metropolitan mayor victories on June 3. Yet outcomes remain clustered tightly between 11 and 14 because several high-profile races, notably Seoul and Busan, stay within the margin of error after recent candidate registration. Regional conservative strongholds in the southeast continue to limit gains despite the opposition’s weakened standing following prior national setbacks, while voter turnout trends and localized campaign dynamics in provinces such as Jeonbuk introduce further variability. Final tallies hinge on whether the party converts its broad polling edge into decisive flips or whether incumbency and regional loyalties cap the total closer to the lower end of trader projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
11 42.9%
12 26%
14 16%
13 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
10%
11
29%
12
39%
13
13%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
11 42.9%
12 26%
14 16%
13 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
$4,239 Vol.
10%
11
$465 Vol.
29%
12
$478 Vol.
39%
13
$809 Vol.
13%
14
$1,092 Vol.
16%
15
$620 Vol.
6%
≥16
$723 Vol.
1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party’s commanding national position, anchored by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval above 60 percent and control of the National Assembly, fuels expectations of at least 11 governor and metropolitan mayor victories on June 3. Yet outcomes remain clustered tightly between 11 and 14 because several high-profile races, notably Seoul and Busan, stay within the margin of error after recent candidate registration. Regional conservative strongholds in the southeast continue to limit gains despite the opposition’s weakened standing following prior national setbacks, while voter turnout trends and localized campaign dynamics in provinces such as Jeonbuk introduce further variability. Final tallies hinge on whether the party converts its broad polling edge into decisive flips or whether incumbency and regional loyalties cap the total closer to the lower end of trader projections.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,425Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party’s commanding national position, anchored by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval above 60 percent and control of the National Assembly, fuels expectations of at least 11 governor and metropolitan mayor victories on June 3. Yet outcomes remain clustered tightly between 11 and 14 because several high-profile races, notably Seoul and Busan, stay within the margin of error after recent candidate registration. Regional conservative strongholds in the southeast continue to limit gains despite the opposition’s weakened standing following prior national setbacks, while voter turnout trends and localized campaign dynamics in provinces such as Jeonbuk introduce further variability. Final tallies hinge on whether the party converts its broad polling edge into decisive flips or whether incumbency and regional loyalties cap the total closer to the lower end of trader projections.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$8,425Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party’s commanding national position, anchored by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval above 60 percent and control of the National Assembly, fuels expectations of at least 11 governor and metropolitan mayor victories on June 3. Yet outcomes remain clustered tightly between 11 and 14 because several high-profile races, notably Seoul and Busan, stay within the margin of error after recent candidate registration. Regional conservative strongholds in the southeast continue to limit gains despite the opposition’s weakened standing following prior national setbacks, while voter turnout trends and localized campaign dynamics in provinces such as Jeonbuk introduce further variability. Final tallies hinge on whether the party converts its broad polling edge into decisive flips or whether incumbency and regional loyalties cap the total closer to the lower end of trader projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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