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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?

BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Polymarket

$378 Vol.

Polymarket

Fiona Ma

$26 Vol.

64%

David Collenberg

$1 Vol.

50%

Oliver Ma

$29 Vol.

47%

Josh Fryday

$0 Vol.

46%

David Fennell

$0 Vol.

43%

Jeyson Lopez

$70 Vol.

6%

Ebie Lynch

$82 Vol.

5%

Rakesh Christian

$56 Vol.

5%

Sean Collinson

$109 Vol.

3%

Janelle Kellman

$5 Vol.

50%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2 top-two primary for lieutenant governor features a fragmented field led by Democratic candidates Fiona Ma, the current state treasurer, Josh Fryday, Governor Newsom's chief service officer, and Michael Tubbs, the former Stockton mayor, alongside Republican Gloria Romero, a former state senator who switched parties in 2024. Recent polling shows low name recognition across the board and a statistical tie among the top Democrats after voters receive balanced information, with endorsements from groups like the California Nurses Association and Highway Patrolmen boosting Ma while Fryday highlights growth potential. The open primary system means the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, heightening focus on turnout among registered Democrats and any late consolidation behind one or two contenders before ballots mail.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$378
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2 top-two primary for lieutenant governor features a fragmented field led by Democratic candidates Fiona Ma, the current state treasurer, Josh Fryday, Governor Newsom's chief service officer, and Michael Tubbs, the former Stockton mayor, alongside Republican Gloria Romero, a former state senator who switched parties in 2024. Recent polling shows low name recognition across the board and a statistical tie among the top Democrats after voters receive balanced information, with endorsements from groups like the California Nurses Association and Highway Patrolmen boosting Ma while Fryday highlights growth potential. The open primary system means the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, heightening focus on turnout among registered Democrats and any late consolidation behind one or two contenders before ballots mail.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$378
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Fiona Ma" di 64%, diikuti oleh "David Collenberg" di 50%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 64¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 14, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" adalah "Fiona Ma" di 64%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "David Collenberg" di 50%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.