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Pemilihan Umum·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 89%

Elijah Manley 12%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$37,221 Vol.

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 89%

Elijah Manley 12%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$37,221 Vol.

icon for Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$14,939 Vol.

89%

icon for Elijah Manley

Elijah Manley

$12,913 Vol.

12%

icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$1,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Douglas

Mark Douglas

$838 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rudy Moise

Rudy Moise

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luther Campbell

Luther Campbell

$1,251 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dale Holness

Dale Holness

$2,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Maisha Williams

Maisha Williams

$741 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, FL-20 Democratic primary, reflecting her established congressional tenure, Appropriations Committee role, and recent endorsements from major Florida editorial boards. Redistricting earlier in the year prompted her move from the neighboring 25th district into this Democratic-leaning Broward County seat, where her record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and services provides a structural edge over challengers. Elijah Manley remains the clearest alternative at double-digit implied probability, drawing support from voters prioritizing newer voices and district demographics, though earlier spring polling showing fragmented opposition has not translated into sustained market momentum. The remaining candidates register negligible shares, consistent with limited name recognition and fundraising. With the primary days away, trader positioning emphasizes incumbency advantages and institutional backing over intra-party contestation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37,221
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, FL-20 Democratic primary, reflecting her established congressional tenure, Appropriations Committee role, and recent endorsements from major Florida editorial boards. Redistricting earlier in the year prompted her move from the neighboring 25th district into this Democratic-leaning Broward County seat, where her record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and services provides a structural edge over challengers. Elijah Manley remains the clearest alternative at double-digit implied probability, drawing support from voters prioritizing newer voices and district demographics, though earlier spring polling showing fragmented opposition has not translated into sustained market momentum. The remaining candidates register negligible shares, consistent with limited name recognition and fundraising. With the primary days away, trader positioning emphasizes incumbency advantages and institutional backing over intra-party contestation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37,221
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Terkait

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Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

96%
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Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" di 89%, diikuti oleh "Elijah Manley" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 89¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $37.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" di 89%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Elijah Manley" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.