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Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.0%

Polymarket
BARU

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.0%

Polymarket
BARU

Rebecca Bennett

$661 Vol.

83%

Brian Varela

$1,088 Vol.

25%

Michael Roth

$1,183 Vol.

12%

Tina Shah

$604 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her leading small-donor fundraising—$2.65 million total raised, with $1.42 million cash on hand—and endorsements from over 100 local Democratic leaders plus recent super PAC ad buys from VoteVets and Article One Action. These factors underscore her electability edge in the battleground district against self-funded challengers Brian Varela (27%), who secured progressive backing like Newark Mayor Ras Baraka's endorsement, Michael Roth (11%), leveraging Biden administration experience, and Tina Shah (5%), emphasizing healthcare expertise. A key New Jersey Globe debate three days ago highlighted policy contrasts on affordability and challenging Rep. Tom Kean Jr., but traders see Bennett's momentum persisting ahead of early voting starting May 26, amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,536
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her leading small-donor fundraising—$2.65 million total raised, with $1.42 million cash on hand—and endorsements from over 100 local Democratic leaders plus recent super PAC ad buys from VoteVets and Article One Action. These factors underscore her electability edge in the battleground district against self-funded challengers Brian Varela (27%), who secured progressive backing like Newark Mayor Ras Baraka's endorsement, Michael Roth (11%), leveraging Biden administration experience, and Tina Shah (5%), emphasizing healthcare expertise. A key New Jersey Globe debate three days ago highlighted policy contrasts on affordability and challenging Rep. Tom Kean Jr., but traders see Bennett's momentum persisting ahead of early voting starting May 26, amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,536
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rebecca Bennett" di 83%, diikuti oleh "Brian Varela" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 83¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Rebecca Bennett" di 83%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Brian Varela" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.