The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, has become the central driver of current trader positioning. Recent surveys show Paxton holding a narrow lead among likely GOP voters, elevating the probability that he secures the nomination and faces Democratic nominee James Talarico in November. Talarico secured his party's nod after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Hypothetical general-election polling indicates Talarico holding slight edges over both potential Republican opponents, yet the market assigns higher weight to the Talarico-Paxton pairing given Paxton's momentum in the runoff. The contest remains closely contested overall, with the outcome sensitive to turnout in the final days before the May vote and any late shifts in voter preference.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPertandingan Pemilihan Senat Texas
Pertandingan Pemilihan Senat Texas
Talarico & Paxton 62%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,479 Vol.
$721,479 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico & Paxton
62%
Talarico & Cornyn
38%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
<1%
Lainnya
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 62%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,479 Vol.
$721,479 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$275,339 Vol.
62%
Talarico & Cornyn
$197,112 Vol.
38%
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$24,058 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
$107,066 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
$65,651 Vol.
<1%
Lainnya
$27,524 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, has become the central driver of current trader positioning. Recent surveys show Paxton holding a narrow lead among likely GOP voters, elevating the probability that he secures the nomination and faces Democratic nominee James Talarico in November. Talarico secured his party's nod after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Hypothetical general-election polling indicates Talarico holding slight edges over both potential Republican opponents, yet the market assigns higher weight to the Talarico-Paxton pairing given Paxton's momentum in the runoff. The contest remains closely contested overall, with the outcome sensitive to turnout in the final days before the May vote and any late shifts in voter preference.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$721,479Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, has become the central driver of current trader positioning. Recent surveys show Paxton holding a narrow lead among likely GOP voters, elevating the probability that he secures the nomination and faces Democratic nominee James Talarico in November. Talarico secured his party's nod after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Hypothetical general-election polling indicates Talarico holding slight edges over both potential Republican opponents, yet the market assigns higher weight to the Talarico-Paxton pairing given Paxton's momentum in the runoff. The contest remains closely contested overall, with the outcome sensitive to turnout in the final days before the May vote and any late shifts in voter preference.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$721,479Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, has become the central driver of current trader positioning. Recent surveys show Paxton holding a narrow lead among likely GOP voters, elevating the probability that he secures the nomination and faces Democratic nominee James Talarico in November. Talarico secured his party's nod after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Hypothetical general-election polling indicates Talarico holding slight edges over both potential Republican opponents, yet the market assigns higher weight to the Talarico-Paxton pairing given Paxton's momentum in the runoff. The contest remains closely contested overall, with the outcome sensitive to turnout in the final days before the May vote and any late shifts in voter preference.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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