US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled following the inconclusive April talks in Islamabad, where proposals were exchanged through Pakistani mediators but produced no agreement on core issues including nuclear enrichment limits and access to the Strait of Hormuz. Recent Iranian submissions of framework documents in early May have yet to yield a confirmed follow-up round, leaving traders nearly evenly split between Pakistan hosting the next session and no meeting occurring before the June 30 cutoff. This balance reflects persistent uncertainty over whether Pakistan’s established mediation role can overcome the current impasse or if both sides will delay further direct or indirect contact amid ongoing military and economic pressures. Any breakthrough on a revised proposal or new venue announcement could quickly shift probabilities, while continued deadlock would favor extension of the no-meeting outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDi mana pertemuan diplomatik AS - Iran berikutnya akan berlangsung?
Tidak Ada Pertemuan sebelum 30 Juni 44.4%
Pakistan 42.8%
Lainnya 2.8%
Swiss 2.4%
$6,410,971 Vol.
$6,410,971 Vol.
Tidak Ada Pertemuan sebelum 30 Juni
44%
Pakistan
43%
Lainnya
3%
Swiss
2%
Oman
2%
Qatar
1%
Austria
<1%
AS
<1%
Mesir
<1%
Rusia
<1%
Turki
<1%
Irak
<1%
Lainnya - Eropa
<1%
Italia
<1%
Iran
<1%
Lainnya - Timur Tengah/Afrika Utara
<1%
Arab Saudi
<1%
UEA
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Tidak Ada Pertemuan sebelum 30 Juni 44.4%
Pakistan 42.8%
Lainnya 2.8%
Swiss 2.4%
$6,410,971 Vol.
$6,410,971 Vol.
Tidak Ada Pertemuan sebelum 30 Juni
44%
Pakistan
43%
Lainnya
3%
Swiss
2%
Oman
2%
Qatar
1%
Austria
<1%
AS
<1%
Mesir
<1%
Rusia
<1%
Turki
<1%
Irak
<1%
Lainnya - Eropa
<1%
Italia
<1%
Iran
<1%
Lainnya - Timur Tengah/Afrika Utara
<1%
Arab Saudi
<1%
UEA
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled following the inconclusive April talks in Islamabad, where proposals were exchanged through Pakistani mediators but produced no agreement on core issues including nuclear enrichment limits and access to the Strait of Hormuz. Recent Iranian submissions of framework documents in early May have yet to yield a confirmed follow-up round, leaving traders nearly evenly split between Pakistan hosting the next session and no meeting occurring before the June 30 cutoff. This balance reflects persistent uncertainty over whether Pakistan’s established mediation role can overcome the current impasse or if both sides will delay further direct or indirect contact amid ongoing military and economic pressures. Any breakthrough on a revised proposal or new venue announcement could quickly shift probabilities, while continued deadlock would favor extension of the no-meeting outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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