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icon for Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

icon for Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

4% peluang
Polymarket

$148,685 Vol.

4% peluang
Polymarket

$148,685 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Volume
$148,685
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Volume
$148,685
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 4¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $148.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.