Israeli assessments presented to the US in mid-October indicate Hamas has no intention of voluntarily disarming and is instead rebuilding its military capabilities, including restoring tunnel networks and expanding its force to roughly 30,000-40,000 operatives. Negotiations over a US-backed Gaza roadmap remain stalled, with Israel insisting on complete disarmament before any troop withdrawal and Hamas conditioning steps on Israeli pullback, international guarantees, and staged implementation. Recent US envoy meetings with Hamas leadership have sought to revive talks, yet persistent gaps over verification, sequencing, and the meaning of disarmament continue to limit progress toward an official commitment by year-end.