Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during the May 19–26 window, consistent with his established pattern of limited direct social media activity. Official statements and formal addresses through state channels continue to serve as his primary mode of communication, with posting frequency remaining low absent acute crises or scheduled high-level summits. No major diplomatic deadlines, leadership transitions, or regional escalations are currently set to occur in the immediate period that would alter this baseline. The market's secondary probabilities on the 5–9 and higher ranges reflect the possibility of isolated announcements tied to routine policy matters or external developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?
<5 70%
5-9 22%
60+ 20.2%
10-14 16%
BARU
BARU
May 26, 2026
<5
70%
5-9
22%
10-14
16%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
5%
50-54
16%
55-59
16%
60+
20%
<5 70%
5-9 22%
60+ 20.2%
10-14 16%
BARU
BARU
May 26, 2026
<5
$28 Vol.
70%
5-9
$5 Vol.
22%
10-14
$5 Vol.
16%
15-19
$10 Vol.
1%
20-24
$10 Vol.
1%
25-29
$10 Vol.
1%
30-34
$10 Vol.
1%
35-39
$10 Vol.
1%
40-44
$10 Vol.
1%
45-49
$25 Vol.
5%
50-54
$25 Vol.
16%
55-59
$30 Vol.
16%
60+
$30 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during the May 19–26 window, consistent with his established pattern of limited direct social media activity. Official statements and formal addresses through state channels continue to serve as his primary mode of communication, with posting frequency remaining low absent acute crises or scheduled high-level summits. No major diplomatic deadlines, leadership transitions, or regional escalations are currently set to occur in the immediate period that would alter this baseline. The market's secondary probabilities on the 5–9 and higher ranges reflect the possibility of isolated announcements tied to routine policy matters or external developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$208Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irThis market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during the May 19–26 window, consistent with his established pattern of limited direct social media activity. Official statements and formal addresses through state channels continue to serve as his primary mode of communication, with posting frequency remaining low absent acute crises or scheduled high-level summits. No major diplomatic deadlines, leadership transitions, or regional escalations are currently set to occur in the immediate period that would alter this baseline. The market's secondary probabilities on the 5–9 and higher ranges reflect the possibility of isolated announcements tied to routine policy matters or external developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$208Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irTrader consensus assigns the highest probability to fewer than five posts from Iran's Supreme Leader during the May 19–26 window, consistent with his established pattern of limited direct social media activity. Official statements and formal addresses through state channels continue to serve as his primary mode of communication, with posting frequency remaining low absent acute crises or scheduled high-level summits. No major diplomatic deadlines, leadership transitions, or regional escalations are currently set to occur in the immediate period that would alter this baseline. The market's secondary probabilities on the 5–9 and higher ranges reflect the possibility of isolated announcements tied to routine policy matters or external developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan