Elon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 14%
90-114 7%
BARU
$28,248 Vol.
BARU
$28,248 Vol.
May 20, 2026
<40
14%
40-64
50%
65-89
28%
90-114
7%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 14%
90-114 7%
BARU
$28,248 Vol.
BARU
$28,248 Vol.
May 20, 2026
<40
$826 Vol.
14%
40-64
$2,178 Vol.
50%
65-89
$1,524 Vol.
28%
90-114
$4,446 Vol.
7%
115-139
$2,359 Vol.
3%
140-164
$2,022 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,846 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$2,685 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,835 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$28,248Tanggal Berakhir
May 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$28,248Tanggal Berakhir
May 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskElon Musk’s prolific posting habits on X continue to anchor trader expectations for the three-day window, with the 40-64 tweet range emerging as the clear consensus. Musk has maintained elevated activity levels in recent weeks, frequently engaging on free-speech issues, cultural debates, and platform developments through a mix of original posts, replies, and reposts. This pace aligns with historical patterns during periods without major product launches or regulatory hearings, making the mid-range band the market’s favored outcome. Lower volumes below 40 or spikes above 90 remain possible if breaking news draws him into extended threads, but current momentum favors steady rather than outlier engagement through May 20.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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