Elon Musk’s well-documented habit of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, where implied probability sits at 55.5%. Weekend activity patterns typically produce 12-20 posts per day as he reacts to news cycles, engages followers, and shares business commentary, keeping totals comfortably inside that band. The 65-89 bracket trails at 39.5% because any surge tied to major announcements or extended threads could push the count higher before Monday closes. With the period still underway and no singular breaking event dominating headlines, the market reflects measured expectations around his baseline digital engagement rather than an outlier spike.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 56%
65-89 40%
90-114 4.0%
115-139 <1%
$548,321 Vol.
$548,321 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
56%
65-89
40%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 40%
90-114 4.0%
115-139 <1%
$548,321 Vol.
$548,321 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$143,566 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$46,227 Vol.
56%
65-89
$53,236 Vol.
40%
90-114
$75,726 Vol.
4%
115-139
$51,557 Vol.
1%
140-164
$58,592 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s well-documented habit of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, where implied probability sits at 55.5%. Weekend activity patterns typically produce 12-20 posts per day as he reacts to news cycles, engages followers, and shares business commentary, keeping totals comfortably inside that band. The 65-89 bracket trails at 39.5% because any surge tied to major announcements or extended threads could push the count higher before Monday closes. With the period still underway and no singular breaking event dominating headlines, the market reflects measured expectations around his baseline digital engagement rather than an outlier spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$548,321Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s well-documented habit of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, where implied probability sits at 55.5%. Weekend activity patterns typically produce 12-20 posts per day as he reacts to news cycles, engages followers, and shares business commentary, keeping totals comfortably inside that band. The 65-89 bracket trails at 39.5% because any surge tied to major announcements or extended threads could push the count higher before Monday closes. With the period still underway and no singular breaking event dominating headlines, the market reflects measured expectations around his baseline digital engagement rather than an outlier spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$548,321Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s well-documented habit of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, where implied probability sits at 55.5%. Weekend activity patterns typically produce 12-20 posts per day as he reacts to news cycles, engages followers, and shares business commentary, keeping totals comfortably inside that band. The 65-89 bracket trails at 39.5% because any surge tied to major announcements or extended threads could push the count higher before Monday closes. With the period still underway and no singular breaking event dominating headlines, the market reflects measured expectations around his baseline digital engagement rather than an outlier spike.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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