Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the May 15-22 window, with the tightest odds clustered on the 180-219 tweet ranges. His volume usually tracks business updates at Tesla and SpaceX, responses to news cycles, and personal commentary, producing week-to-week swings that keep the distribution competitive. The close contest between those two leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether a steady cadence or a sudden spike from announcements or debates will dominate the final days. Historical patterns show Musk rarely falls into extreme lows or highs without a clear catalyst, so any late-week developments could quickly shift the implied probabilities before the period closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui180-199 20%
200-219 18.9%
160-179 15%
220-239 12.9%
$4,137,389 Vol.
$4,137,389 Vol.
May 22, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
20%
200-219
19%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
200-219 18.9%
160-179 15%
220-239 12.9%
$4,137,389 Vol.
$4,137,389 Vol.
May 22, 2026
40-59
$184,924 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$258,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$245,680 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$225,457 Vol.
1%
120-139
$170,652 Vol.
3%
140-159
$153,775 Vol.
9%
160-179
$125,712 Vol.
15%
180-199
$109,191 Vol.
20%
200-219
$151,231 Vol.
19%
220-239
$141,446 Vol.
13%
240-259
$105,853 Vol.
8%
260-279
$112,305 Vol.
5%
280-299
$102,467 Vol.
3%
300-319
$130,249 Vol.
1%
320-339
$106,025 Vol.
1%
340-359
$135,277 Vol.
1%
360-379
$134,165 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$148,923 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$167,064 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$228,920 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$268,921 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the May 15-22 window, with the tightest odds clustered on the 180-219 tweet ranges. His volume usually tracks business updates at Tesla and SpaceX, responses to news cycles, and personal commentary, producing week-to-week swings that keep the distribution competitive. The close contest between those two leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether a steady cadence or a sudden spike from announcements or debates will dominate the final days. Historical patterns show Musk rarely falls into extreme lows or highs without a clear catalyst, so any late-week developments could quickly shift the implied probabilities before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,137,389Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the May 15-22 window, with the tightest odds clustered on the 180-219 tweet ranges. His volume usually tracks business updates at Tesla and SpaceX, responses to news cycles, and personal commentary, producing week-to-week swings that keep the distribution competitive. The close contest between those two leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether a steady cadence or a sudden spike from announcements or debates will dominate the final days. Historical patterns show Musk rarely falls into extreme lows or highs without a clear catalyst, so any late-week developments could quickly shift the implied probabilities before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,137,389Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the May 15-22 window, with the tightest odds clustered on the 180-219 tweet ranges. His volume usually tracks business updates at Tesla and SpaceX, responses to news cycles, and personal commentary, producing week-to-week swings that keep the distribution competitive. The close contest between those two leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether a steady cadence or a sudden spike from announcements or debates will dominate the final days. Historical patterns show Musk rarely falls into extreme lows or highs without a clear catalyst, so any late-week developments could quickly shift the implied probabilities before the period closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan