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icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$4,649,606 Vol.

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$4,649,606 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's diplomatic calendar through mid-May 2026 centered exclusively on hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a two-day summit in Beijing on May 14-15, with all bilateral capacity directed toward U.S.-China discussions on trade, Taiwan, and the ongoing conflict involving Iran. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi held talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi earlier in the month, yet no escalation to a leader-level encounter with Xi materialized before the May 15 deadline. State media coverage and public schedules reflected this focus, producing near-unanimous trader consensus that the meeting would not occur. An unscheduled, unpublicized Iranian delegation arrival remained theoretically possible but inconsistent with standard diplomatic practice ahead of such high-profile events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,649,606
Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Jendela sengketa

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's diplomatic calendar through mid-May 2026 centered exclusively on hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a two-day summit in Beijing on May 14-15, with all bilateral capacity directed toward U.S.-China discussions on trade, Taiwan, and the ongoing conflict involving Iran. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi held talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi earlier in the month, yet no escalation to a leader-level encounter with Xi materialized before the May 15 deadline. State media coverage and public schedules reflected this focus, producing near-unanimous trader consensus that the meeting would not occur. An unscheduled, unpublicized Iranian delegation arrival remained theoretically possible but inconsistent with standard diplomatic practice ahead of such high-profile events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,649,606
Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Jendela sengketa

Final

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 0¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" telah menghasilkan $4.6 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.