Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following redistricting that altered boundaries and shifted the seat toward greater competitiveness. Recent polling shows narrow margins, with Pulido leading by a few points in July surveys, reflecting the district's mix of voters and limited prior exposure to De La Cruz in new areas. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome slightly ahead at 54.5 percent, consistent with the seat's historical Democratic lean offset by recent Republican performance and the incumbent's name recognition. Key variables that could widen the gap include sustained polling movement, fundraising totals, turnout among key demographic groups, and any shifts in the broader national midterm environment before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$11,589 Vol.
$11,589 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
54%
Republican Party
46%
$11,589 Vol.
$11,589 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,342 Vol.
54%
Republican Party
$7,247 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following redistricting that altered boundaries and shifted the seat toward greater competitiveness. Recent polling shows narrow margins, with Pulido leading by a few points in July surveys, reflecting the district's mix of voters and limited prior exposure to De La Cruz in new areas. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome slightly ahead at 54.5 percent, consistent with the seat's historical Democratic lean offset by recent Republican performance and the incumbent's name recognition. Key variables that could widen the gap include sustained polling movement, fundraising totals, turnout among key demographic groups, and any shifts in the broader national midterm environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$11,589Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following redistricting that altered boundaries and shifted the seat toward greater competitiveness. Recent polling shows narrow margins, with Pulido leading by a few points in July surveys, reflecting the district's mix of voters and limited prior exposure to De La Cruz in new areas. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome slightly ahead at 54.5 percent, consistent with the seat's historical Democratic lean offset by recent Republican performance and the incumbent's name recognition. Key variables that could widen the gap include sustained polling movement, fundraising totals, turnout among key demographic groups, and any shifts in the broader national midterm environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,589Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following redistricting that altered boundaries and shifted the seat toward greater competitiveness. Recent polling shows narrow margins, with Pulido leading by a few points in July surveys, reflecting the district's mix of voters and limited prior exposure to De La Cruz in new areas. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome slightly ahead at 54.5 percent, consistent with the seat's historical Democratic lean offset by recent Republican performance and the incumbent's name recognition. Key variables that could widen the gap include sustained polling movement, fundraising totals, turnout among key demographic groups, and any shifts in the broader national midterm environment before Election Day.
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