Recent polling in Texas’s 15th District shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz by margins of 5–13 points in surveys from late September and mid-October, including a Texas Southern University poll placing him ahead 51–44 among likely voters. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report have shifted the race to toss-up status after Republican redistricting added unfamiliar territory comprising roughly 80% of the new map. Pulido, a Tejano singer with extensive local name recognition, has leveraged community events and moderate positioning to gain ground among Latino voters, who form the district’s majority, and independents. Both candidates have raised over $6 million, but Pulido’s cash on hand and ground-game visibility have contributed to trader consensus reflecting a competitive but Democrat-leaning environment ahead of the November 3 general election.