US agencies including the FBI, NSA, and CISA issued a September 2026 advisory accusing firms such as DeepSeek, Alibaba’s Qwen, and Moonshot of industrial-scale distillation from US models like those from Anthropic and OpenAI, prompting calls for Entity List additions, procurement restrictions, and export controls. Despite these tensions and a brief Federal Register incident that quickly dropped Qwen integration, no broad removal of public access has occurred. Open-weight Chinese models remain widely downloadable and competitive on platforms like OpenRouter, while industry leaders including Nvidia and Meta have pushed back against blanket bans that could stifle innovation and favor closed US labs. Trader consensus at 83.5% for “No” reflects the preference for targeted measures over disruptive public-access interventions, with upcoming bilateral AI talks unlikely to trigger such an outcome before year-end.